The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation

[Tony Koretz]

The data is in — stop the panic and end the total isolation

BY DR. SCOTT W. ATLAS

The tragedy of the COVID-19 pandemic appears to be entering the containment phase. Tens of thousands of Americans have died, and Americans are now desperate for sensible policymakers who have the courage to ignore the panic and rely on facts. Leaders must examine accumulated data to see what has actually happened, rather than keep emphasizing hypothetical projections; combine that empirical evidence with fundamental principles of biology established for decades; and then thoughtfully restore the country to function.

Five key facts are being ignored by those calling for continuing the near-total lockdown.

Fact 1: The overwhelming majority of people do not have any significant risk of dying from COVID-19.
The recent Stanford University antibody study now estimates that the fatality rate if infected is likely 0.1 to 0.2 percent, a risk far lower than previous World Health Organization estimates that were 20 to 30 times higher and that motivated isolation policies.

In New York City, an epicenter of the pandemic with more than one-third of all U.S. deaths, the rate of death for people 18 to 45 years old is 0.01 percent, or 11 per 100,000 in the population. On the other hand, people aged 75 and over have a death rate 80 times that. For people under 18 years old, the rate of death is zero per 100,000.

Of all fatal cases in New York state, two-thirds were in patients over 70 years of age; more than 95 percent were over 50 years of age; and about 90 percent of all fatal cases had an underlying illness. Of 6,570 confirmed COVID-19 deaths fully investigated for underlying conditions to date, 6,520, or 99.2 percent, had an underlying illness. If you do not already have an underlying chronic condition, your chances of dying are small, regardless of age. And young adults and children in normal health have almost no risk of any serious illness from COVID-19.

Fact 2: Protecting older, at-risk people eliminates hospital overcrowding.

We can learn about hospital utilization from data from New York City, the hotbed of COVID-19 with more than 34,600 hospitalizations to date. For those under 18 years of age, hospitalization from the virus is 0.01 percent per 100,000 people; for those 18 to 44 years old, hospitalization is 0.1 percent per 100,000. Even for people ages 65 to 74, only 1.7 percent were hospitalized. Of 4,103 confirmed COVID-19 patients with symptoms bad enough to seek medical care, Dr. Leora Horwitz of NYU Medical Center concluded “age is far and away the strongest risk factor for hospitalization.” Even early WHO reports noted that 80 percent of all cases were mild, and more recent studies show a far more widespread rate of infection and lower rate of serious illness. Half of all people testing positive for infection have no symptoms at all. The vast majority of younger, otherwise healthy people do not need significant medical care if they catch this infection.

Fact 3: Vital population immunity is prevented by total isolation policies, prolonging the problem.

We know from decades of medical science that infection itself allows people to generate an immune response — antibodies — so that the infection is controlled throughout the population by “herd immunity.” Indeed, that is the main purpose of widespread immunization in other viral diseases — to assist with population immunity. In this virus, we know that medical care is not even necessary for the vast majority of people who are infected. It is so mild that half of infected people are asymptomatic, shown in early data from the Diamond Princess ship, and then in Iceland and Italy. That has been falsely portrayed as a problem requiring mass isolation. In fact, infected people without severe illness are the immediately available vehicle for establishing widespread immunity. By transmitting the virus to others in the low-risk group who then generate antibodies, they block the network of pathways toward the most vulnerable people, ultimately ending the threat. Extending whole-population isolation would directly prevent that widespread immunity from developing.

Fact 4: People are dying because other medical care is not getting done due to hypothetical projections.

Critical health care for millions of Americans is being ignored and people are dying to accommodate “potential” COVID-19 patients and for fear of spreading the disease. Most states and many hospitals abruptly stopped “nonessential” procedures and surgery. That prevented diagnoses of life-threatening diseases, like cancer screening, biopsies of tumors now undiscovered and potentially deadly brain aneurysms. Treatments, including emergency care, for the most serious illnesses were also missed. Cancer patients deferred chemotherapy. An estimated 80 percent of brain surgery cases were skipped. Acute stroke and heart attack patients missed their only chances for treatment, some dying and many now facing permanent disability.

Fact 5: We have a clearly defined population at risk who can be protected with targeted measures.

READ MORE https://thehill.com/opinion/healthcare/494034-the-data-are-in-stop-the-panic-and-end-the-total-isolation

A Minute to Midnite Administration
A Minute To Midnite Show Host

[Tony Koretz]

This article from Mike Adams says the exact opposite from the one above

The coronavirus is likely 56 to 100 times MORE DEADLY than the flu; any attempt to end the lockdowns without precautions will result in catastrophe

(Natural News) The determined effort of media pundits and publishers to try to downplay the severity of the coronavirus pandemic will go down in history as one of the most bizarre and inexplicable chapters in the history of journalism. Over the last two months, mostly pro-Trump, conservative publishers have gone to extraordinary lengths to try to claim the coronavirus is no more deadly than the regular flu, even as coronavirus deaths have exceeded regular flu deaths by well over over 2000% on a day-to-day basis for the past two weeks. (See comparison chart below.)

In just the last 17 days, for example, the coronavirus has killed more Americans than died across an entire year of the regular flu.

And by next Tuesday, the coronavirus will have then killed more Americans in just two months than died in the entire Vietnam War which spanned multiple years.

The coronavirus remains the No. 1 cause of death in America on a day-to-day basis, vastly outpacing deaths from cancer, heart disease, Alzheimer’s, obesity, accidents, shootings and all violent crime combined. Nothing is killing more Americans right now, day to day, than the coronavirus. Clearly it isn’t “just the flu.”

They’ve been using the wrong fatality numbers from day one

Now, we have arrived at a moment of clarity that’s truly refreshing. It turns out the naysayers have been using the wrong “fatality rate” number all along.

They’ve been comparing the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of the regular flu with the Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) of the coronavirus. That’s a faulty comparison. It’s apples and oranges.

The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is the rate of death among those who are symptomatic and diagnosed as “sickened” by the infection. It does not include people who merely have antibodies but who show no symptoms.

The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR), on the other hand, is the rate of death among all who have been infected, including those who are asymptomatic (and therefore show no symptoms).

As we laid out in a detailed Natural News article, the CFR for the regular flu is about 0.1%. But the IFR for the regular flu is just 0.025%, since the regular flu infects about 140 million Americans each year, about three-quarters of which are asymptomatic.

The CFR for the coronavirus, in contrast, is at least 5.6% in the USA, and almost certainly more like 10% (as we’ll likely learn in the coming months), which would make the CFR for the coronavirus 56 to 100 times higher than the flu. All the numbers are detailed in this Science.news article.

The naysayers have been citing the IFR of the coronavirus, claiming huge numbers of infections due to antibody tests such as the “Stanford study” that (falsely) claimed more people were infected than we previously thought. But they’re taking these IFR numbers for the coronavirus and comparing them to the CFR numbers for the regular flu, deceiving themselves and others into thinking the coronavirus is no more dangerous than the flu.

Through that deceit, the naysayers then claim absurd things like pretending the coronavirus death rate is about the same as the regular flu death rate. From there, they demand all lockdowns must be immediately ended, saying there’s really no danger to society and “we don’t lock down the country for the flu.”

But if that were true, we wouldn’t be seeing thousands of people dying from it every day in America. We would only see fewer than 100, which is roughly the number of deaths caused by the regular flu each day (actually it’s 94, on average).

Based on concluded cases so far, the coronavirus Case Fatality Rate right now is 32% in the USA

This helps explain why coronavirus deaths are right now over 20 times higher than the flu, on a day-to-day basis. The regular flu kills about 94 people per day in America, on average, while the coronavirus has been killing anything from 1,800 to 2,800 people per day for the last two weeks. That number should begin to fall next week because the lockdowns are working.

We’re now at over 52,000 deaths in the USA from the coronavirus, and it continues to climb by around 2,000 deaths per day. In another 2-3 weeks, we’ll likely be close to 70,000 deaths, which is twice the number of fatalities from the regular flu during the last flu season (about 34,000).

Based on cases which have been concluded in the USA so far, the coronavirus currently has a 32% Case Fatality Rate (CFR) in the United States. You can confirm this via Worldometers.info, which uses hundreds of sources including state health department data and the CDC:

READ MORE https://www.naturalnews.com/2020-04-26-coronavirus-56-to-100-times-more-deadly-than-flu-lockdowns-catastrophe.html

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