Trump’s trade war has Asia’s central banks reeling

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  • #7798
    Tony Koretz
    Keymaster

      Trump’s trade war has Asia’s central banks reeling

      Yi-Gang-Peoples-Bank-of-China-governor

      The US Federal Reserve and other monetary giants are used to having their way with traders. They drop hints of what markets should do and punters react dutifully.

      Now the traders are running the asylum and, arguably, ruining it. Not financiers, mind you, but rather huge nations running roughshod over global commerce. Yes, Donald Trump, we’re talking to you.

      The US leader’s escalating trade war is boomeranging back on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The minutes of the Fed’s latest policy meeting raised “concern about the possible adverse effects of tariffs and other proposed trade restrictions, both domestically and abroad, on future investment activity.”

      Powell’s team also found indications that “plans for capital spending had been scaled back or postponed as a result of uncertainty over trade policy.” What’s more, US policymakers highlighted worries across industries “about the effect of potentially higher tariffs on their exports.”

      Extraordinary and illuminating stuff. At the very least, Trump’s assault on trade will limit Fed rate hikes in the months ahead. Might a similar recalculation preoccupy Asia in the second half of 2018? Absolutely.

      READ MORE http://www.atimes.com/article/trumps-trade-war-has-asias-central-banks-reeling/

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      #7799
      Tony Koretz
      Keymaster

        The U.S. Trade War With China Officially Goes To The Next Level As Financial Markets Around The World Continue To Implode

        Up until now, the U.S. trade war with China has simply been a bunch of threats and counter-threats, but now things are about to get very real. On Friday, the first round of U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods becomes official, and these tariffs are going to fundamentally alter the economic relationship between the two largest economies on the entire planet. Over the past several decades, U.S. consumers have loved gobbling up super-cheap goods from China, and the Chinese have used many of the dollars that they have been accumulating to fund our exploding national debt. This symbiotic relationship has been bad for the United States in a lot of ways, and something had to be done, but in the short-term this trade war is going to be enormously painful. Sadly, most Americans are completely oblivious to what is happening. The following comes from Bloomberg…

        President Donald Trump is preparing to slap tariffs on Chinese goods early Friday, the first shot in a trade war between the world’s two biggest economies.

        Tariffs on $34 billion of Chinese goods are scheduled to take effect at 12:01 a.m. in Washington, the U.S. Trade Representative confirmed in an email Thursday. The milestone marks a new and damaging phase in a conflict that has roiled markets and cast a shadow over the global growth outlook.
        Another way should have been found to deal with our trade imbalances with China, because a trade war is not going to work.

        Instead of giving in, the Chinese are promising to respond with measures of “equal scale, equal intensity”, and President Trump is already pledging to hit the Chinese with another 500 billion dollars in tariffs if the Chinese hit back in this manner…

        Aboard Air Force One on his way to a rally in Montana, Trump told reporters he would also consider imposing additional tariffs on $500 billion in Chinese goods, should Beijing retaliate.
        Once these escalations begin, where will they end?

        The Chinese can really, really hurt us by dumping our debt and by cutting off our access to rare earth elements.

        Would they really go that far?

        And what would Trump do in response if the Chinese pull the trigger and decide to “go nuclear”?

        It would be hard to overstate the pain that these tariffs will cause for U.S. businesses. In fact, Bloomberg is reporting that some sectors are already being hit really hard in anticipation of what is going to happen…

        The tariffs are already having an effect. As an example, Chinese companies are reselling U.S. soybeans, and Chinese companies are expected to cancel most of the remaining soybeans they have committed to buy from the U.S. in the year ending Aug. 31, once the extra tariffs take effect.
        Of course the U.S. is not just fighting a trade war with China. The United States has decided to wage trade wars with almost all of the major economic powers around the world simultaneously, and economic experts in France are warning that this could plunge the globe into a new economic crisis that “would likely be as devastating for the world economy as the 2008-2009 recession”…

        A full-scale trade war would likely be as devastating for the world economy as the 2008-2009 recession, warned France’s Council of Economic Advisors, a body which gives input to the country’s prime minister.

        The United States and China could see a permanent loss of three percent of economic output and the European Union (EU) four percent in the case of a full-blown trade war, it estimated on Tuesday.
        The wheels are in motion, and it is going to take a miracle to reverse course now.

        In fact, it is being reported that “global trade is already collapsing”…

        While the US prepares to unleash its latest salvo in the trade war against China at midnight tonight, business surveys suggest that global trade is already collapsing

        JPMorgan’s Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data suggest that trade growth has already slowed dramatically this year, as tensions over tariffs have escalated.

        READ MORE http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/the-u-s-trade-war-with-china-officially-goes-to-the-next-level-as-financial-markets-around-the-world-continue-to-implode

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